اعلانات هامة

Syria like other developing countries entered letly a demographic transition. Which used to represent the trsnition from high birth and death rates to low birth and dearth rates and Age structural transition. Lower death rates and slower population growth temp increase the relative rise  of the work force. The shift in the population age structural results in Syria from a combination of decreasing mortality rates and prolonged high fertility rates. This paper investigate the demographic impact of changes in a population age structural article presents demographic window and demographic dividend in Syria, it is argued that population policy could play an important role to prolong the demography window and the benefits of better demographic conditions to sustain economic and social development. This research provides empirical data on population of Syria at different stages of demographic and –age- structural transition , it covers both the longer term, out many decades to 2050, and the shorter period to 2025. This paper analyses too the causes and impacts of demographic and Age-Structural transitions over one and half century (1990-2050). Using empirical data from 1900 to 2010 and population projections from 2010 to 2050 U.N. world population projections from 2000 to 2050 (U.N world population prospects. Medium projection) .

Three phases of population momentum are observed: the first, one of "waves" occurred because of disorders in patterns of birth and death, and the second was due to success of family blaning program, the third phase is one of waves that is occurring today and will unfold in future carrying long-term aging.

A window of opportunity has been identified here to occur between (2015-2020 ), for a three decades. At that stage the dependency ratio will fall below 50 per, 100 at working ages.

If the government were able to create enough employment opportunities, Syria could exploit a demographic hones because a large number at working ages and height levels of saving would induce increased investment in quality human resources.